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14:10 Kelso tips

Novice Hcap Chaseclass 42m7½fgood5 runners
What we lean towardspreferred

Realisation is our pick, though Wearelongterm is not far behind. It edges it on its standing on published form ratings.

Novice Hcap Chase over 2m7½f on good going. Realisation heads our ratings. We have enough recent form to rate all 5 declared.

How we rate the field

1
Realisation
Sean Quinlan / Charlie Longsdon
9/2
  • Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 55% drop.
  • Back after 153 days, well beyond its usual 44-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Wearelongterm
Charlie Maggs / Dianne Sayer
8/1
  • Steady 19% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
  • Placed 2 times from 2 runs here on course without winning.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)
3
Society Soldier
Jack Power / Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
13/4
  • Steady 14% average price drop over its last 3 runs.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)