16:07 Kilbeggan tips
Maiden2mgty14 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Astelia just shades it from Hows Ellie on the way its price has been shortening.
Maiden over 2m on gty going. Astelia heads our ratings. We rate 10 of the 14 declared; the other 4 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Astelia
Sam Ewing / Peter Fahey
13/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 19% drop.
12/1 to 20/1: 5.0% win, 18.9% frame (893 tracked)
2
Hows Ellie
Daniel King / W P Mullins
5/2
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 4, averaging a 29% drop.
- Quick turnaround at 25 days against its usual 72.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Dawn Coming
Philip Byrnes / C Byrnes
2.9/1
- Steady 37% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
Not rated: Dusky Night, Hardlee Trouble, Minella Cyclone, Rule Seventeen — too little recent form to judge.