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17:00 Thirsk tips

Other Handicapclass 47fgood to soft9 runners
What we lean towardsopen race

Too close to split with conviction. Native Instinct just shades it from Kosometsuke on the way its price has been shortening.

Other Handicap over 7f on good to soft going. Native Instinct and Kosometsuke separate by very little. We have enough recent form to rate all 9 declared.

How we rate the field

1
Native Instinct
Harry Davies / Edward Bethell
15/4
  • Its price has drifted across its last 5, averaging 21% out, though the drift has been easing each run.
  • Quick turnaround at 17 days against its usual 61.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Kosometsuke
Connor Beasley / Michael Dods
7/1
  • Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 56% drop.
  • Has won 1 of 3 here on course.
  • Carries 7lb less than last time.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
3
Native Honey
Lauren Young / Jim Goldie
9/1
  • Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 33% drop.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)